Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Ekaterina Perelygina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Toth slightly outperforms Perelygina in second serve points won, with 38.11% compared to 36.78%. Could this indicate a minor advantage in service games?
• Perelygina exhibits stronger return game stats, winning 52.23% of opponents' second serve points, against Toth's 49.16%. Could her superior return ability be decisive?
• When facing first serves, Perelygina leads slightly, winning 40.23% of points compared to Toth's 39.64%.
• Toth shows better resilience under pressure, saving 45.83% of breakpoints, while Perelygina saves 40.15%.
• Over the past year, Toth boasts a higher match win percentage at 70.83% compared to Perelygina's 60.87%.
• On Clay – Toth's best surface – she thrives with a 68% win rate, whereas Perelygina excels on Hard courts with a 69% win rate.
• Toth competes more regularly in higher-level Challengers/ITF events, whereas Perelygina participates mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments.
• Toth has faced stronger competition, with an average opponent rank of 387.9, compared to Perelygina's average opponent rank of 519.76.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Perelygina is more successful, winning 60% of such sets, whereas Toth secures only 40%.
• Both players have a comparable breakpoint conversion rate, with Perelygina at 42.21% and Toth at 40.98%.

Editorial Prediction (September 2, 2025, UTC):

Toth and Perelygina present contrasting strengths, making this matchup intriguing. Toth's edge in second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure could play a crucial role, especially if she manages to impose her game early on.

However, Perelygina's superior return game, particularly on opponents' second serves, may allow her to disrupt Toth's rhythm and create break opportunities. Despite Toth's experience at higher-level events and her better overall win rate, Perelygina presents formidable competition.

In a match that might hinge on mental toughness and decisive points, both players have shown capabilities in converting breakpoint opportunities. Although Toth has faced stronger opposition and usually performs well on Clay, Perelygina's success in deciding sets could be pivotal.

Considering all these factors, the match is set to be competitive. Nevertheless, Toth's combination of serving, pressure handling, and higher-level experience may edge her as the likely winner in this upcoming encounter.